Introduction

EURUSD continues to draw heightened attention as volatility rises and directional clarity becomes increasingly tied to fundamental shifts. Recent price action reflects a market responding sharply to macro expectations, political developments, and liquidity dynamics, all contributing to a challenging environment for traders navigating both the HTF and intraday structure

Table of Contents

1. Why EURUSD Remains Under Bearish Pressure
2. HTF Market Structure: Confirmed Downtrend
3. Intraday Price Action: Trend Still Intact
4. Key Levels to Watch
5. Conclusion.

1. Why EURUSD Remains Under Bearish Pressure

• USD strength dominates as markets expect a cautious, steady Fed in December.
• A lack of recent US data keeps policymakers conservative, they do not want to “go blind” into their final rate decision of 2025.
• Eurozone political instability adds about 20% of the bearish pressure basket, limiting euro recoveries.

2. HTF Market Structure: Confirmed Downtrend

On the higher timeframe, EURUSD remains in a clear bearish trend:

• Lower highs and lower lows remain intact.
• Fundamentals (USD policy expectation + Eurozone politics) contribute a combined 60% of bearish pressure.
• MRKT continues projecting bearish HTF targets aligned with current momentum.
• Pullbacks remain shallow, a sign of strong trend continuation pressure.

3. Intraday Price Action: Trend Still Intact

The intraday chart is not the cleanest, yet the trend remains undeniably bearish:

• Bearish order flow dominates.
• Attempts to push higher lose steam quickly.
• Pullbacks simply reset the structure for further downside continuation.
• No meaningful bullish shift has appeared on momentum or structure.

Even in choppy conditions, the underlying intraday bias aligns perfectly with the HTF direction — confirming continuation probability.

4. Key Levels to Watch

The following levels define upcoming directional bias:

• 1.15826 – Key Trigger Level:
  A break and sustained move below this zone opens the door for stronger bearish continuation.
• 1.16013 – MRKT pullback level:
  If price decides to do a deeper pullback then 1.16013 becomes the next logical destination from which sellers may jump back in.

5. Conclusion

EURUSD remains under broad selling pressure as USD strength, Fed caution, and Eurozone instability combine to keep both the HTF and intraday trend decisively bearish.
A clean break below 1.15826 could unlock momentum toward the 1.15 MRKT HTF target, keeping sellers in control.

Short-term rallies remain corrective unless price invalidates the broader structure.