Most price forecasts you find online are built on technical analysis. These are valuable tools for entry and exit timing, but they don't tell you why a market is moving or what the macro environment suggests about sustained directional moves. MRKT Edge's price forecasts are built on macro fundamental inputs: economic data, central bank policy signals, institutional positioning, and cross asset flow dynamics. The framework institutional traders use, now accessible to retail traders.
FX, gold, indices, and crypto, each with macro drivers spelled out.
Daily directional forecasts for all major FX pairs including EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CAD, and USD/CHF. Each includes the primary macro driver (Fed policy differential, interest rate expectations, safe haven flows), the confidence level, and the conditions that would change the directional assessment.
Daily directional forecast for XAU/USD incorporating the four primary gold macro drivers: real interest rates (nominal rates minus inflation expectations), USD strength or weakness, geopolitical risk premium, and COT positioning extremes in gold futures. Gold's relationship to these inputs is among the most consistent in liquid markets.
Daily directional forecasts for S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, and DAX 40, incorporating Fed policy trajectory, credit spread dynamics, earnings season context, and risk sentiment indicators.
Daily directional forecasts for BTC/USD and ETH/USD incorporating Fed monetary policy cycle position, risk on/risk off gauge, USD strength, and institutional ETF flow dynamics.
MRKT's price forecasts are directional bias assessments with fundamental backing. They indicate which direction the macro evidence suggests a market is most likely to trend, not specific price targets, entry levels, or stop loss prices. Those are execution decisions depending on your technical analysis, risk tolerance, and position sizing framework.
No single methodology is reliably most accurate across all markets and conditions. Technical forecasts perform well in trending, momentum driven markets. Fundamental forecasts perform better in macro driven markets where data releases and central bank shifts create sustained directional moves. The most robust approach combines both: macro fundamental forecasts establish the directional bias, technical analysis identifies optimal entry and exit points within that direction. MRKT provides the fundamental forecast layer most technical traders are missing.
Macro fundamental forecasting starts with the data that institutional traders use to form directional views: central bank policy trajectory, economic data releases and their implications for rate expectations, COT positioning showing professional allocation, cross asset flow dynamics, and market sentiment extremes. These inputs are synthesised into a directional assessment, bullish, bearish, or neutral, with a confidence level and the specific conditions that would change the forecast.
Fundamental forecasts have demonstrated consistent directional accuracy for currency pairs and gold over medium term periods (1 week to 3 months). Short term intraday accuracy is lower because microstructure noise dominates at the 1 to 4 hour timeframe. MRKT's forecasts are optimised for the 1 to 5 day swing trading horizon where fundamental macro analysis has the most consistent track record.
Yes. MRKT Edge offers a free tier that includes access to the daily directional forecasts for major markets. The free tier provides the directional assessment and primary macro driver for each market, the paid tier unlocks the full confidence level breakdown, intraday updates, and the complete reasoning behind each forecast.
Use MRKT's price forecasts as the directional filter for your technical analysis. Before opening your charts each session, check which markets have a strong directional forecast. Focus your chart analysis on those markets and look for technical setups in the direction the macro forecast supports. This alignment between fundamental direction and technical setup is the highest conviction entry condition available to retail traders.
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