Most traders open charts and look for setups without asking the most important question first: what direction is the macro evidence pointing for this market today? MRKT Edge's Daily Bias answers that question systematically, every trading day, for every major market, based on economic data, central bank signals, COT positioning, and cross asset flows. Not one person's opinion. A data engine. Updated before every session opens.
Trusted by 10,000+ traders · Data from Reuters · LSE Group · NASDAQ · CME Group
Most traders open charts and look for setups without asking which direction the macro evidence supports today. That single omission stacks the odds against every technical pattern. Daily Bias exists to answer it first, systematically, every session, before you risk capital.
Four inputs, transparent drivers, confidence sizing, then your charts.
MRKT's bias engine synthesises four data layers for each market: (1) macroeconomic data, the latest economic releases and their implications for rate expectations and growth, (2) central bank signals, the current policy stance and any recent communication that shifts the rate outlook, (3) COT positioning, whether large speculators are bullish or bearish in the relevant futures market and whether they're at an extreme, (4) cross asset dynamics, whether related markets are corroborating or contradicting the directional signal.
Every bias entry shows the primary driver: 'USD bullish, higher than expected CPI reducing Fed cut probability, with COT positioning showing large speculator net longs at a new high.' Traders see the reasoning, not just a coloured arrow. This builds genuine macro understanding over time rather than creating dependency on an opaque signal.
Strong confidence (multiple aligned inputs): full position size within your risk parameters. Moderate confidence (2 of 4 inputs aligned): 75% of standard size. Developing (1 strong input, others mixed): pilot position or wait for confirmation. Neutral (inputs conflicting): sit out or apply very strict technical confirmation.
Major markets where Daily Bias is generated.
| Asset | Coverage |
|---|---|
| Major FX Pairs | EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CAD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD |
| Cross Pairs | EUR/GBP, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY, EUR/JPY |
| Commodities | Gold (XAU/USD), Silver (XAG/USD), WTI Crude |
| Equity Indices | S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, DAX 40, FTSE 100 |
| Crypto | BTC/USD, ETH/USD |
Bias first workflow vs. chart first guessing.
Charts first, direction guessed from the last candle
Opaque “calls” with no reasoning trail
Same size whether 1 or 4 inputs agree
20+ minutes across calendar, COT, news, charts
Bias first, macro evidence before technical filter
Primary driver visible on every bias read
Confidence maps to sizing discipline
Under 2 minutes on MRKT, then execute
"MRKT is the first platform that actually made macro usable. I don't need an economics background, I just see the bias, the risk zones, and how the market is likely to react."
Adel D.
FX & Indices Trader
"I avoided macro for years because it felt too complex. MRKT breaks everything down so clearly I can understand market context in seconds. It fits perfectly with my technical setups."
Vigneshwar S.
Futures Trader
"I used to ignore red folder news completely. Now I know how to trade it."
Karan U.
Forex Trader
A daily market bias is the directional assessment, bullish, bearish, or neutral, for a given market on a given trading day, based on the macro fundamental and positioning data available. It tells traders which direction the weight of evidence suggests the market is most likely to trend, informing which types of technical setups are highest probability (setups in the direction of the bias) vs. which require extra confirmation (counter bias setups).
MRKT's bias engine processes four data layers: macroeconomic data releases and their rate implications, central bank policy signals and communication, CFTC COT positioning for each relevant futures market, and cross asset flow dynamics. These inputs are weighted and synthesised into a directional assessment with a confidence level. The methodology is transparent, every bias entry shows the primary driver and the condition that would change the assessment.
A trade signal service tells you when to buy and sell, specific entry prices, stop losses, and profit targets. MRKT's daily bias tells you the macro directional framework, which direction the fundamental evidence supports. You use your own technical analysis to find the entry and set the risk parameters. MRKT improves the quality of your directional decisions; the execution remains yours.
Yes. The daily bias reflects the probability distribution of likely market direction given current macro evidence, it is not a prediction with certainty. The macro evidence can point bullish and the market can still fall because of an unexpected event, a technical break, or noise. The bias improves win rates on directional decisions over a sufficient sample of trades; individual instances will be wrong. The goal is consistent, data driven decision making that improves outcomes over time.
The recommended workflow: MRKT Daily Bias first (establish the macro directional framework), then your charting platform (find technical entries in that direction). A bullish MRKT bias on EUR/USD combined with a bullish technical setup (support bounce, breakout pattern, moving average cross) represents full alignment between fundamental and technical signals, the highest conviction entry available. A bearish technical setup against a bullish MRKT bias requires significantly stronger technical confirmation before entry.
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